Ebook Foolproof: Why Safety Can Be Dangerous and How Danger Makes Us Safe
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Foolproof: Why Safety Can Be Dangerous and How Danger Makes Us Safe
Ebook Foolproof: Why Safety Can Be Dangerous and How Danger Makes Us Safe
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Audible Audiobook
Listening Length: 8 hours and 43 minutes
Program Type: Audiobook
Version: Unabridged
Publisher: Hachette Audio
Audible.com Release Date: October 13, 2015
Language: English, English
ASIN: B0167A5C1I
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
Foolproof was excellent and much more subtle and thought provoking than its subtitle “Why Safety Can Be Dangerous and How Danger Makes Us Safe†would lead you to think. Instead of a retread of the well known Peltzman effect (the idea that innovations design to enhance safety just lead to greater risk taking without necessarily increasing safety) the book is actually a subtle and wide-ranging exploration of when it is true, when it is not, and its implications (e.g., seatbelt—the original Peltzman claim—actually don’t have the effect because people forget they are wearing them so don’t actually alter their behavior much, but antilock breaks are something you directly engage with while driving and lead to less safe driving). The wide-ranging aspect is a substantial amount of economics which is Greg Ip’s speciality, especially the recent financial and eurozone crises, but also safety in areas like food, floods, wildfires, automobiles, airplanes and professional football. Although Ip somewhat heroically tries to extract some lessons from all of this, the real strength of the book is tying together disparate topics and making you realize that there are no easy answers to any of these questions. That said, I personally find myself generally more sympathetic to what Ip calls the engineers (i.e., the people who try to make innovations to increase safety) rather than the ecologists (i.e., the people who worry about preserving the ecosystem as a whole without disturbances like new safety innovations). But overall an exciting read and thought provoking whether or not you agree with every part of it.
Don't get me wrong it's a great book. Lots of nice tidbits of history.Given the author's background in Financial Journalism, it is unsurprising that stories of financial disasters and the events leading to them take up a lot of pages. Greg has of course done a good job in relating them to the main theme of the book, the safety paradox (how making trying to make ourselves safer from one thing makes prone to disaster elsewhere).If you like a good insightful read on the human obsession of self preservation and protection then this is an interesting book. It covers a lot of topics but is very heavy on financial disasters and their history.There was great potential to show insights into what neuro-psychological research has revealed about our behaviour but sadly that was lacking in this book. It is a good book to read once but not something I'd keep as reference.
While the premise - that making things too safe encourage unnecessary risk taking that may be more dangerous, is in some senses a logical outcome. And the authors discussion of how this related to the recent financial melt down was excellent, he beat the living daylights out of it to the point of becoming weary.While I would recommend it, be prepared to tear your hair out a little when it becomes tedious. I some ways, this is a rehash of a book called "Cycles" which posited that we will have another depression once all the people who lived through the last one had passed on, taking their risk aversion with them.
Mr. Ip is a singular talent in financial journalism for his ability to distill very complicated topics to digestible text. Foolproof is a must read for anyone interested in federal policy and regulation, especially with respect to financial institutions. Risk, perceptions of risk and self interested human behavior mean that rules do not operate on a simple linear system, but a complex and sometimes chaotic system where secondary impacts are not always intuitive. Even those of us who do not agree with all of the points made in the book can learn something, and appreciate Mr. Ip’s clarity and insight.
Greg Ip is a solid columnist with a fine writing style and a solid understanding of economics and human behavior. His book is well worth reading because we now live in a society that assumes that risk can be managed around. Ip points out that by avoiding small disasters we are likely to set the stage, unwittingly, for a large disaster.
This book was truly thought provoking and I enjoyed reading various analogies that the author has linked together. It's a worthwhile read that will help put things in perspective. I would especially recommend to students of economics and finance to help them understand real life applications, that life is not so linear.
It is widely accepted that the policy of suppressing natural forest fires has had two undesirable consequences. One is that more combustible material will make subsequent fires bigger; the other is that the lack of experience of recent fires encourages people to build in areas subject to natural fires, thereby increasing the impact of subsequent larger fires. This book describes other contexts in which measures to reduce risk that are sensible in the shorter term may be harmful in the longer term. The emphasis is on the second effect -- that changing perception of risk may cause changes in human behavior. In economics, for instance, the "Great Moderation" of comparatively stable macroeconomics (growth, inflation and interest rates), perceived as a permanent state of affairs controllable by government, undoubtedly encouraged greater risk-taking by both households and financial institutions, and set the stage for the financial crisis of 2007–08.The author paints a broad picture: river flooding and antibiotic resistance, catastrophe insurance and credit default swaps, automobile and airplane safety, and a dozen more topics. He writes in a familiar modern style -- brief histories of the topic, accompanied by interviews with or stories about individuals.To me, the book constitutes a very readable part of a first look at the big picture of risk in the "public policy" sense. However, looking at these particular topics through this particular lens gives only part of the story. As another reviewer commented, if you want to engage a conversation with someone knowledgeable about one of these topics, you had better learn a lot more.
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